politics2 d ago
Iran’s Leaders Mostly Want a Deal
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Iran’s Leaders Mostly Want a Deal
According to the Trump administration’s latest messaging, talks between the United States and Iran are deadlocked because of infighting in Tehran. The military hard-liners of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps must be stopping the civilian diplomats from making a deal. Or, to put it in President Trump’s words, “Iran is having a very hard time figuring out who their leader is!” (This supposition conveniently makes sense of the president’s claim that Iran has “agreed to everything” alongside Iran’s denial that this is so.)The explanation, which has gained some currency in U.S. media, is at best half-true. Quite a bit of infighting is indeed happening within the Iranian regime. However, it does not map neatly onto a military-versus-civilian divide, and it does not suggest that Iran’s negotiating team is disempowered to speak for the country. Such theories reflect a misunderstanding of Iran’s complex system and do little to advance American diplomatic aims.Consider the role of Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, the man who led the Islamabad talks with Vice President Vance. His American interlocutors can’t quite decide where to place him in their schema of Iran’s internal politics. That might be because the sources of, and limits on, his authority range across the
Iran’s Leaders Turn to Old Supertanker to Survive US Blockade
Iran deployed a 30-year-old oil tanker for the first time in years to act as emergency floating storage as the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports throttles its exports, a sanctions monitoring group said.The large crude carrier Nasha, which can hold up to 2 million barrels of oil, was visible on public ship-tracking services last week as it sailed in the Persian Gulf toward Kharg Island, Iran’s main export terminal.On Sunday, satellite imagery showed the supertanker, which measures nearly 1,100 feet long, loading at Kharg’s western jetty, but it was no longer there on Wednesday, analysts at the nonprofit United Against Nuclear Iran said....Its reactivation may point to mounting pressure on Iran’s oil industry—a major economic lifeline—as the ongoing U.S. blockade amid the 2-month-old war restricts Tehran’s exports and forces it to store rather than sell its energy.Iran still has 18 empty supertankers that it can call on as floating storage, analysts at TankerTrackers.com said in an update this week. The U.S. Blockade Is WorkingThe real challenge for Iran will be to exit the U.S. blockade area, something no Iranian tanker has managed thus far.While Nasha was loading at Kharg on Sunday, another tanker was seen doing the same at its
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